South Acapulco Suracapulco I News Acapulco Guerrero The end of the honeymoon

Jorge G..Castañeda

Many analysts and diplomats have commented over the last year, that Presidents Joe Biden and Andrés Manuel López Obrador entered a kind of tacit and discreet Faustian pact to conduct relations between Mexico and the United States.Faustian pact, not with the devil, but of each with the other.As we have said here and many others commented before and better, Biden agreed not to question the internal procedures of López Obrador, or in the matter of macroeconomic policy or in terms of energy or institutional reforms, or in the relationship with Cuba, Nicaragua and Venezuela, and López Obrador agreed to do the dirty work of the United States on the southern border and northern Mexico and prevent the entry of undocumented migrants to the United States.Likewise, we said that this Faustian, intelligent, skilled and profitable pact for both leaders, probably had the days counted from the beginning since it was not a sustainable position for either of them in the two in the medium term.

It seems that the Faustian pact has come to an end.The signal was the declaration of the Secretary of Energy, Jennifer Granholm, during his visit to Mexico, informing the content of his talks with López Obrador and other senior Mexican officials.Actually, this visit and that statement also coincides with the publication - even unofficial - of the figures of arrests of migrants on the border of Mexico with the United States by US authorities in the month of December.

Regarding the first.When the Mexican tried to say that they had been cordial and with respect and kindly, the United States EmbassThey are worshiped and kisses and everything you want, but that the United States had shared all Mexican officials their real concerns about energy reform and about the policies in general of the 4T government.So far that type of clarification had not happened.The reason was very simple: Biden and his team did not want, Brazilians, Cubans, Ecuadorians and Haitians.

The problem is that as has happened since 2014 - that is, with the Peña Nieto regime - despite all the promises and the sincere will of two presidents of Mexico to do everything possible to please three presidents of the United States as soon asAt the close of the borders, Mexico simply cannot contain migratory flows for too long.December figures are terrifying: 177 thousand arrests, that is, more than in November and more than any other December for decades for decades.For the 2021 calendar year, this is more than 1.9 million arrests, the highest figure since 2000 when he was still president of the United States Bill Clinton, and Mexico Ernesto Zedillo.

If Mexico can no longer, despite all its best will, to fulfill Biden, he can not comply with López Obrador either.The letters of several North American senators - republican and democrats, young and oldEven more the task to Biden.It simply cannot be done as easily in a blind eye as before.It is not that I would not want to do it: with the troubles in Ukraine, with the Senate and Congress, with China and Taiwan, and many others who accumulate, the last thing they want to be fighting is fighting with López Obrador.But the senators of their own party, without talking about those of the Republican party, do not have to give it any benefit in terms of the relationship with Mexico.And that is why the public letters that send to Biden or their closest collaborators are increasingly explicit and punctual.

Are we on the eve of a declarative war between Mexico and the United States?Of course not.Will there be cordial visits and encounters?Of course.Will the issues with institutional channels be discussed as they should deal with?Of course.But what López Obrador can no longer take for granted.Time to become public.It is a very important change that will not facilitate government work to López Obrador at all.Excellent.